Dear Listers 

As I will be at Keeneland on Saturday, these selections may well be backed up by with cash investments. 

Anyway, onto the nags:

TURF SPRINT

Creative Force - Fast enough for Ascot, but too slow for Keeneland. Toss.

Flotus - My sense is that the fast ground at Keeneland will bring out some improvement. However, she has a habit of missing the break. I think she is a must include at very long odds underneath in all Tris and Supers. She will then finish a running on fifth!

Emaraaty Ana - Very classy by Euro standards and fourth in this race last year. Can he win, no. Can he pick up a piece, yes. Use underneath.

Go Bears Go - Arguably, his two best runs (at Del Mar and Newbury) came on very fast ground. Also, Rispoli a plus. Another to use underneath.

Highfield Princess - the dominant Euro sprinter this year. However, at these odds, a toss for me.

Naval Crown - Just can't see how 5 and 1/2 furlongs around Keeneland will result in a revival in form. Toss.

VERDICT - The Yanks are going to win this, but the Euros may fill the Super at long odds.

F&M TURF

Nashwa - The only reasons to oppose this top-class filly are the relatively long season and price. If she runs to form, she wins. Bet to win.

Above The Curve - Don't be fooled by her proximity to Nashwa in a bog at Longchamp. Has no previous form in top class races for 3-yr-old fillies, or on fast ground, and would seem to be the wise guy horse in this race. Instant toss.

Tuesday - Top class filly. Won the Epsom Oaks and has some very solid form in the book since. The distance of this race this year would, I think, favour Nashwa, but I expect Tuesday to finish very strongly. Include.

Mise En Scene - Has no top-class form to speak of. Beautifully bred, but aren't they all? Toss.

Toy - Second in the Irish Oaks and a recent winner after a 70-day break. Storm Cat on the dam side takes the eye and maybe she can pick up a piece. Use underneath.

VERDICT - Nashwa and AOB to dominate.

MILE

Pogo - A very popular front runner with the perfect draw. Does not have the class to win this and will probably lose five places in the last 50 yerds. Toss.

Dreamloper - Her form looks good on paper but is actually quite suspect. Instant toss.

Modern Games - Needs no introduction. A repeat of the Del Mar or Woodbine form means he wins, but at cramped odds. Include.

Malavath - Returned to form in a bog at Longchamp. Already has US form at Del Mar. Will be running late and should be used underneath,

Order of Australia - The miracle of Keeneland 2020 seems a very, very long time ago. Toss.

Kinross. Ah yes, Euro sprinters stepping up to a mile in the US. Toss!!!!!!

VERDICT - The race is Modern Games' to lose.

TURF

After an inquiry by the stewards, it was established that all the entries for the top-class Euro horses in the Turf have been lost in the mail. So, let us be brief.

Stone Age - Named after the last time he won. Toss.

Broome - An charlatan at top level. Toss.

Rebel's Romance - Another charlatan who wins G1 races in Europe, but doesn't even run in them in the UK. Toss.

Nations Pride - Yet another charlatan who wins sub-standard G1 races in North America after being crushed in the Epsom Derby. Toss.

Mishriff - Has not won a race since Aug 2021. If he can reproduce his form in the Eclipse in June of this year, he will absolutely crush this bunch of frauds. That's a big "If".

VERDICT - This is the worst BC Turf in 40 years. The wise guys will be boxing up the Euros. Leaving aside Mishriff, I'd box them up on the next flight back to Europe. Bet Mishriff to win, but for modest stakes.

Good luck to all

Dave

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