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  • From: Carol S. via Derby
  • Date: Tue, 2 Nov 2021 09:58:40 -0700 (PDT)
  • Subject:

    Re: [Derby] Euro horses - BC Friday


Thanks, BC got the second & 3rd stringers this year :(

On Tue, Nov 2, 2021 at 8:24 AM David Robinson via Derby <
derby@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> Dear All
>
> For what it's worth, as I won't be betting the BC this year again (US
> opens to UK visitors on 8 Nov), here are my thoughts on the European horses
> running on Friday.
>
> JUVE TURF SPRINT
>
> Twilight Jet - Battle hardened having run ten times as a two-yr-old. Three
> disappointing runs on good to firm.  Has to go early from the one hole and
> will be a spent force in the lane.  Toss.
> .
> Go Bears Go - The form of his Ascot second over 5F on g/f would give him a
> chance, but his last three runs have all been disappointing.  Toss.
>
> Virtiginous - Official rating is 10lbs below the two Euros drawn on her
> inside, and this is reflected in the morning line. However, a literal
> interpretation of her 3L fourth to Zain Claudette at York offers some
> encouragement.  If you have to use a Euro underneath at a price, use this
> one.
>
> Heirarchy - Has only ever run over 6F and impossible to make a case for
> this horse.  Toss.
>
> Armor - Highest rated Euro.  Sent off the chalk at Deauville and Doncaster
> and beaten both times.  Disappointing run last time at Newmarket and looks
> on the downgrade.  Toss.
>
> R Thunder Love - Lowest rated Euro and very poor form in last three runs.
> Toss.
>
> JUVE FILLIES TURF
>
> Cachet - Good third in 1M G1 at Newmarket last time out.  However, no win
> in last six races is discouraging.  Toss.
>
> Hello You - Won a 7F G2 at Newmarket last time out in a quick time.  1M at
> Del Mar on firm turf should suit.  Good draw and John Velazquez are
> bonuses.  Bet to win.
>
> Malavath - Has only ever run over 6F and last two winning runs were on
> soft turf.  Impossible to make a case for this horse.  Toss.
>
> Mise En Scene - A bit unlucky last time out at Newmarket and before that
> had Hello You well behind her at Goodwood.  However, the draw is horrible.
> Lightly raced and possible some improvement still to come. Use her
> underneath.
>
>
> JUVE TURF
>
> Modern Games - Races prominently and has won both starts where he
> encountered good to firm turf.  Impressive in Newmarket G3 on good to firm
> last time. Has to be used early and Buick will probably get him into a good
> position at the first turn.  Include in all bets.
>
> Albahr - Gelded after two runs, unbeaten in three runs since.  Handles
> good to firm turf.  Dam was useful, has produced four foals, all have won.
> Raced prominently in races until being successfully rated in Canada,
> although that was a weak race for a G1. Dettori up.  Unlike Modern Games,
> may not be completely compromised if getting behind early, although he will
> need a dream run.  Looks the value, bet to win.
>
> Great Max - Although rated only 5lbs behind Modern Games, has not won in
> four runs since winning his maiden back in June.  Toss.
>
> Glounthaune - Obviously highly regarded by Coolmore as he ran in the
> Dewhurst (the top two-yr-old race in Europe) at Newmarket after only one
> run in Ireland. Returned to form in a 7F G3 in Ireland next time.  Despite
> his sprinting sire, looks like he might benefit from being upped in trip.
> However, likely to get behind early and lack of experience might count
> against him. Use him underneath.
>
> Dubawi Legend - The top-rated Euro draws 14.  Yikes!  Lightly raced and
> finished second in the Dewhurst.  Races prominently and, with this draw,
> must be used early.  Will be spent in the lane.  Toss.
>
> Good luck to all
>
> Dave
>
>
>
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